There's cause for great optimism. There are over 90 Covid-19 vaccines in development by scores of different teams in companies and universities globally. And multiple teams are promising vaccines by September. We are very likely to have global access to working vaccines by Christmas. Can't guarantee it of course. But in the data I've looked …
Continue reading Over 90 Covid-19 vaccines in development by scores of teams
Victoria and NSW are both sitting at around 0.5% for days now, even after Easter's low testing period! This is great news for local eradication of COVID-19 here in Australia. The Victorian government is also funding the development & manufacture of local COVID-19 tests! Anybody know how that is going? This is important because ramping …
There is now the '80% likelihood' of a COVID-19 vaccine by September 2020! Remember when it was '12-18 months'? An Oxford group's vaccine candidate is about to begin trials and they're confident, and not even quietly! And they're talking September release is possible. So it NEVER was 12-18 months. Why is this important? I knew …
Continue reading This is why it’s important we try for local eradication
Victoria (1.8%) & NSW (3.5%) continue to systematically head in the right direction, in terms of daily % case increase. 1.8% increase per day is a now a huge doubling time of 40 days. Fantastic! And we STILL haven't seen the effects of the new 2-person rule, stronger enforcement and presumably increased testing and therefore …
Seasonal Flu, contrary to strange numbers people are quoting, kills between 1500-3000 people a year in Australia depending on the season. In the US it’s 12,000-60,000. Let’s compare a typical season: 2250 (Australia), 36,000 (US) Flu deaths/year to COVID-19? And what will success look like? Well, it’s hard to say. Let’s all remember that unchecked …
Continue reading What will success look like? COVID-19 vs seasonal Flu
It's early days into the major restrictions on life in Victoria & NSW (Australia) but we are down to under 7% case increases per day (after the number being 25%-ish per day for most of the last fortnight). And Australia is one of the top testers. That's great! I truly believe that pandemic planners did …
Well, here's a Covid19 Coronavirus summary table I put together - and will update daily - because I couldn't find it anywhere else. It tracks the recent daily % increases in cases. From my 24 months in pandemic planning - at University of Melbourne's Global Health Department - I feel this is the key data …
Continue reading Possibly the most useful Coronavirus daily summary
With China, South Korea and Italy in full on pandemics, and most of the rest of the world preparing for it, which companies are making Coronavirus vaccines? These timely biotechs include: Novavax (NVAX)Gilead (GILD)Moderna (MRNA)Invio (INO) and have seen hikes of up to 50% in their stock prices. The question is whether they can make …
Continue reading Which biotechs are making Coronavirus vaccines?
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