Pandemic planners were wrong, smug, ambiguous & are unrepentant

I’ve had enough. As a PhD ex-pandemic planner I’ve been calling for local eradication in Australia with closed borders for months now while watching ‘expert’ pandemic planners treat the fortunate eradication scenario that is actually unfolding as ‘impossible’, ‘unlikely’, ‘not to be aimed for’ and even ‘misguided’ with implications it is childish. But despite all …

Continue reading Pandemic planners were wrong, smug, ambiguous & are unrepentant

The real COVID-19 mortality rate. School closures. Plus Vic & NSW down to 4% increases.

A fascinating paper from Neil Ferguson et al of Imperial College, UK, estimates the true global incidences & effects of social distancing and school closures. And good news: Victoria (4.7%) & NSW (4.0%) are down to % increases with a 4 in front. And it's STILL too early to see the effects of the near-full …

Continue reading The real COVID-19 mortality rate. School closures. Plus Vic & NSW down to 4% increases.

UK, Netherlands have the worst COVID-19 deaths trajectory (apart from Italy & Spain)

Due to the completely irresponsible initial UK, and continuing Dutch, policy of 'going for herd immunity' these two nations have the worst COVID-19 death trajectory apart from Spain. The US has a scary deaths trajectory too. In this logarithmic plot of deaths , each nation is synchronized to a day 0 of the 100th respective …

Continue reading UK, Netherlands have the worst COVID-19 deaths trajectory (apart from Italy & Spain)