Pandemic planners were wrong, smug, ambiguous & are unrepentant

I’ve had enough. As a PhD ex-pandemic planner I’ve been calling for local eradication in Australia with closed borders for months now while watching ‘expert’ pandemic planners treat the fortunate eradication scenario that is actually unfolding as ‘impossible’, ‘unlikely’, ‘not to be aimed for’ and even ‘misguided’ with implications it is childish. But despite all …

Continue reading Pandemic planners were wrong, smug, ambiguous & are unrepentant

The real COVID-19 mortality rate. School closures. Plus Vic & NSW down to 4% increases.

A fascinating paper from Neil Ferguson et al of Imperial College, UK, estimates the true global incidences & effects of social distancing and school closures. And good news: Victoria (4.7%) & NSW (4.0%) are down to % increases with a 4 in front. And it's STILL too early to see the effects of the near-full …

Continue reading The real COVID-19 mortality rate. School closures. Plus Vic & NSW down to 4% increases.

Best viz of effects of social distancing in Victoria & NSW

The effects of social distancing are most systematic in Victoria where the 20-30% daily increase has dropped every day for four days and is now down to 11.6%. NSW is showing good signs too. It will take another week to see the real affects of so-called Stage II restrictions including the closing of almost all …

Continue reading Best viz of effects of social distancing in Victoria & NSW