From Day 1 of this pandemic I’ve been blogging - as a tech innovation blogger AND PhD former pandemic modeller/planner - about what is conjecture and what is fact. And why some public decisions have been so stupid as to be better described as idiotic, delinquent or even criminal. Well, it’s just all so ridiculous. …
Tag: academic smugness
This is why it’s important we try for local eradication
There is now the '80% likelihood' of a COVID-19 vaccine by September 2020! Remember when it was '12-18 months'? An Oxford group's vaccine candidate is about to begin trials and they're confident, and not even quietly! And they're talking September release is possible. So it NEVER was 12-18 months. Why is this important? I knew …
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Pandemic planners were wrong, smug, ambiguous & are unrepentant
I’ve had enough. As a PhD ex-pandemic planner I’ve been calling for local eradication in Australia with closed borders for months now while watching ‘expert’ pandemic planners treat the fortunate eradication scenario that is actually unfolding as ‘impossible’, ‘unlikely’, ‘not to be aimed for’ and even ‘misguided’ with implications it is childish. But despite all …
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Social distancing working better than expected. I’m predicting much lower death counts.
It's early days into the major restrictions on life in Victoria & NSW (Australia) but we are down to under 7% case increases per day (after the number being 25%-ish per day for most of the last fortnight). And Australia is one of the top testers. That's great! I truly believe that pandemic planners did …
Muted shutdowns pander to academic doubts of the will of the people to survive
The only reason we have only muted shut-downs here in Australia, is because pandemic planning experts, in doubt or, worse, academic-smugness, won’t recommend full eradication of the virus. I think they doubt the will of the government & people to survive. I don't think they expected, this early, for borders to be closed. Or that …
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