We can still save Australia if we act now in an ERADICATION mode, more drastically than a 'flatten-the-curve' mode. And certainly not a 'herd immunity' mode. With only maybe a max of 5000 actual cases (compared to 2500-ish confirmed) - given our low death count - in Australia we can eradicate it given our closed …
Category: Biotech
Distancing is working in Europe, US. Next Australia must see a drop in dailies.
The daily % increase is dropping in the danger regions of Europe and the US due to social distancing. Italy and France may even be out of hot water (although the latter has a poor death trajectory suggesting it is under-testing). And Iran has been for a while but needs to now eradicate the virus. …
Continue reading Distancing is working in Europe, US. Next Australia must see a drop in dailies.
Muted shutdowns pander to academic doubts of the will of the people to survive
The only reason we have only muted shut-downs here in Australia, is because pandemic planning experts, in doubt or, worse, academic-smugness, won’t recommend full eradication of the virus. I think they doubt the will of the government & people to survive. I don't think they expected, this early, for borders to be closed. Or that …
Continue reading Muted shutdowns pander to academic doubts of the will of the people to survive
UK, Netherlands have the worst COVID-19 deaths trajectory (apart from Italy & Spain)
Due to the completely irresponsible initial UK, and continuing Dutch, policy of 'going for herd immunity' these two nations have the worst COVID-19 death trajectory apart from Spain. The US has a scary deaths trajectory too. In this logarithmic plot of deaths , each nation is synchronized to a day 0 of the 100th respective …
My new favourite COVID-19 plot
Thanks to analysis by John Burn-Murdoch at FT of John Hopkins data, here's my latest favourite coronavirus chart. It's a logarithmic vertical axis and a horizontal time axis SYNCHRONIZED to start at the 100th case for each country. I at first thought this is unfair because countries have different population sizes but since we are …
A COVID-19 cure? Even more reason to lockdown
With reports that chloroquine - an EXISTING anti-malarial - and/or its derivatives, in combination with an antimicrobial, has had a 100% success rate at curing COVID-19 means we have lots of hope now! And the results by French researchers looks real & robust for a quick study. This is NOT a reason to stop the …
Continue reading A COVID-19 cure? Even more reason to lockdown
US & UK missed the opportunity to have low Covid19 numbers
The US & UK have the highest spread rates (ie daily % increase of cases) out of the most infected countries. And Spain is re-spiking & Australia is not much better. Everyone must isolate as much as possible. If you CAN take your kids out of school do. But keep them away from grandparents. Fortunately …
Continue reading US & UK missed the opportunity to have low Covid19 numbers
Australia’s Covid19 daily exponential spread rate in same boat as Spain, France & Germany.
Our spread rate is no better than that of Spain, France & Germany, at about 25% increase per day. It's time to isolate! It's the only way to stop it. This thing, unchecked, is as bad as between one and five World War IIs! We must all get serious about isolation, working from home and …
Unchecked, Covid19 is equal to between 1-5 World War IIs
With the announcement that the UK is going to allow their nation to reach '60% herd immunity' - which means let as many under the age of 70 that can be infected . . get infected - let's see what that technical threshold means. See the table above. An unchecked Covid19 means 300,000 under age …
Continue reading Unchecked, Covid19 is equal to between 1-5 World War IIs
The Covid19 update with the data. SUNDAY update.
Some good and bad news today as usual. Australia is as yesterday. Probably lost ability to nip it totally. We'll be bunkering down at home by mid-week to next weekend IMO. France, Germany & even the US seem to have made progress although time will tell as this is only one day of, nevertheless, significant …
Continue reading The Covid19 update with the data. SUNDAY update.
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