The daily % increase is dropping in the danger regions of Europe and the US due to social distancing. Italy and France may even be out of hot water (although the latter has a poor death trajectory suggesting it is under-testing). And Iran has been for a while but needs to now eradicate the virus. …
Continue reading Distancing is working in Europe, US. Next Australia must see a drop in dailies.
The only reason we have only muted shut-downs here in Australia, is because pandemic planning experts, in doubt or, worse, academic-smugness, won’t recommend full eradication of the virus. I think they doubt the will of the government & people to survive. I don't think they expected, this early, for borders to be closed. Or that …
Continue reading Muted shutdowns pander to academic doubts of the will of the people to survive
Due to the completely irresponsible initial UK, and continuing Dutch, policy of 'going for herd immunity' these two nations have the worst COVID-19 death trajectory apart from Spain. The US has a scary deaths trajectory too. In this logarithmic plot of deaths , each nation is synchronized to a day 0 of the 100th respective …
Thanks to analysis by John Burn-Murdoch at FT of John Hopkins data, here's my latest favourite coronavirus chart. It's a logarithmic vertical axis and a horizontal time axis SYNCHRONIZED to start at the 100th case for each country. I at first thought this is unfair because countries have different population sizes but since we are …
With reports that chloroquine - an EXISTING anti-malarial - and/or its derivatives, in combination with an antimicrobial, has had a 100% success rate at curing COVID-19 means we have lots of hope now! And the results by French researchers looks real & robust for a quick study. This is NOT a reason to stop the …
Continue reading A COVID-19 cure? Even more reason to lockdown
The US & UK have the highest spread rates (ie daily % increase of cases) out of the most infected countries. And Spain is re-spiking & Australia is not much better. Everyone must isolate as much as possible. If you CAN take your kids out of school do. But keep them away from grandparents. Fortunately …
Continue reading US & UK missed the opportunity to have low Covid19 numbers
Our spread rate is no better than that of Spain, France & Germany, at about 25% increase per day. It's time to isolate! It's the only way to stop it. This thing, unchecked, is as bad as between one and five World War IIs! We must all get serious about isolation, working from home and …
With the announcement that the UK is going to allow their nation to reach '60% herd immunity' - which means let as many under the age of 70 that can be infected . . get infected - let's see what that technical threshold means. See the table above. An unchecked Covid19 means 300,000 under age …
Continue reading Unchecked, Covid19 is equal to between 1-5 World War IIs
Some good and bad news today as usual. Australia is as yesterday. Probably lost ability to nip it totally. We'll be bunkering down at home by mid-week to next weekend IMO. France, Germany & even the US seem to have made progress although time will tell as this is only one day of, nevertheless, significant …
Continue reading The Covid19 update with the data. SUNDAY update.
Well, here's a Covid19 Coronavirus summary table I put together - and will update daily - because I couldn't find it anywhere else. It tracks the recent daily % increases in cases. From my 24 months in pandemic planning - at University of Melbourne's Global Health Department - I feel this is the key data …
Continue reading Possibly the most useful Coronavirus daily summary
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