Month: April 2020

The real COVID-19 mortality rate. School closures. Plus Vic & NSW down to 4% increases.

On By Paul PallaghyIn Biotech, Global affairs, SciLeave a comment

A fascinating paper from Neil Ferguson et al of Imperial College, UK, estimates the true global incidences & effects of social distancing and school closures. And good news: Victoria (4.7%) & NSW (4.0%) are down to % increases with a 4 in front. And it's STILL too early to see the effects of the near-full …

Continue reading The real COVID-19 mortality rate. School closures. Plus Vic & NSW down to 4% increases.

Victoria down to 5% daily case increase. And why % increases are the key metric.

On By Paul PallaghyIn Biotech, Global affairs, SciLeave a comment

Victoria and the rest of Australia are essentially only a few steps away from full lockdown mode and the earlier restrictions are bearing fruit: we're down to 5% daily increase! And NSW is in the same league with 7.4%. This should enable us to effectively locally eradicate COVID-19 soon especially given the fact we can't …

Continue reading Victoria down to 5% daily case increase. And why % increases are the key metric.