A Tale of Four COVID-19 Leaders & Their Pandemic Experts

Nation/
Leader
CMO/
pandemic expert
AdviceResponseResult
USA
Donald
Trump
Anthony Fauci
et. al.
* Flatten the curveDid less
Major outbreak

35,000
deaths
UK
Boris
Johnson
Sir Patrick Valance
et. al.
* Allow herd immunity
* Isolate the elderly
* Flatten the curve (later)
FollowedMajor outbreak

14,000
deaths
Australia
Scott
Morrison
Prof. Brendan Murphy
et. al.
* Flatten the curve
* Eradication (Blakey)
* Eradication not possible (Blakey)
Did moreNear-eradication

65 deaths
NZ
Jacinta
Ardern
Dr. Carolyn McElnay
et al.
EradicationFollowedEradication

11 deaths

So, not much to say today except to point out that your leaders as well as your chief medical advisors are equally important to the outcome.

The US had pretty good advice from Fauci et al but were poorly prepared and slow to follow the advice. With disastrous outcome. The US missed out on eradicating it early and failed to flatten the curve sufficiently to not over-burden the health care system due to Trump’s hoping it would ‘just go away’.

Of course if not followed it would have been near-apocolyptic with millions of deaths including hundreds of thousands of young people.

The UK had terrible, callous advice from Valance which was quickly changed due to an uproar form scientists around the world. Johnson followed the advice but was delayed by Valance. So the UK similarly missed out on early eradication, this time due to poor advice.

Australia had good standard (but still cynical IMO) pandemic advice that assumes eradication is impossible. But Prof Blakey early on argued for eradication. Unfortunately he later reversed that a few days later. The PM, and especially the premiers, did MORE than asked and Australia is now in near eradication. So thanks to our leaders here in Australia, somewhat despite cynical but standard advice.

NZ seems to have had excellent advice from the start and Ardern followed it and they have essentially eradicated it.

What was missing globally was good general discussion around practical eradication vs callous herd immunity and misleading, almost-as-callous ‘flatten the curve’ rhetoric from IMO delinquent and cynical pandemic planners.

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